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The Slow Death of Premise-based ERP Print E-mail
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It seems everywhere I turn lately I’m either reading or hearing about the death of the traditional premise-based ERP model. Case in point: there’s a terrific video that was recently posted on ZDNet of blogger Brian Sommer, former director of Andersen Consulting’s Software Intelligence unit and founder of TechVentive, Inc. and Vital Analysis. Sommer speaks insightfully about how these “giant, monolithic” ERP suites were first built ten to twenty years ago, before there was a commercial Internet and long before the business world began changing with the “speed and velocity that businesses are forced to react to today.”

Sommer goes on to point out how traditional ERP vendors have been accustomed to introducing changes at their own pace and how they’ve “ignored at (their) own peril the changes that are going on in the business environment overall” with products “that were never designed for the high-velocity world.”

Sommer admits that the SaaS-based model “isn’t necessarily the answer.” But I also agree with him that we are witnessing, at least on some level, the end of the premise-based ERP model as we know it. I say this with a few caveats.

First, I think it’s foolhardy for anyone to suggest that organizations which have invested tens of millions of dollars in traditional ERP systems are just going to chuck their legacy systems and adopt SaaS-based ERP systems like NetSuite. That’s not intended as a knock against NetSuite or any other emerging companies in this space. It’s just that CFOs and other decision-makers aren’t about to walk away from such sizeable investments their organizations have made in the legacy ERP systems they’ve taken great pains to integrate and customize for their organization’s operations.

A more likely scenario that will play out among Fortune 2000 organizations over the short term is a trend towards a more hybrid approach: to mix and match some of the new functionality being offered through companies such as NetSuite with existing ERP systems, such as access to ‘social intelligence’ from media such as LinkedIn, Twitter and Facebook.

A new survey of 214 executives from mid-to-large businesses that was sponsored by Netherlands-based ERP vendor Agresso and conducted by IDC found that the inability to easily modify legacy ERP systems “is disrupting their businesses by delaying product launches, slowing decision making and delaying acquisitions and other activities that ultimately cost them between $10M and $500 million in lost opportunities.”

Business leaders can’t afford to put up with those kinds of disruptions in today’s fast-paced, continually changing markets. But they’re not about to walk away from eight and nine-figure ERP investments either.

 




Comments (2)
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1. 12-10-2009 17:11
 
I agree that large, difficult-to-maintain on-premise ERP systems should be and will be supplanted by more modern (read "agile") "cloud" architectures. 
 
I disagree with one point: the idea that financial decision-makers won't "walk away from their sizeable investments."  
 
Prior investments are a "sunk cost," and shouldn't influence future capital investment decisions. If choice "A" is continue investing in a legacy ERP and choice "B" is start investing in an alternative ERP, then the decision comes down to which set of investments has the best NPV. 
 
OK, I'm not an idiot and I realize real life is "messier" than that. The investments have to be accurately calculated (including training cost, conversion cost, etc.), and they have to be risk-adjusted as well. 
 
But assuming the estimates are done properly there is a price point at which such transitions will become compelling. 
 
Let's factor in human nature: someday someone will make the transition, document the real benefits, get a "cover story" written in CIO or in Fortune, and start a stampede towards "ERP-as-a-Service" or whatever the press will dub it. 
 
Legacy ERP vendors can respond by: 
a) milking the cash cow as long as possible; 
b) investing in new cloud products/companies and "riding the wave" of publicity; 
c) modernizing their legacy offerings to become easier to maintain/modify and easier to provision in a "cloud-like" manner (whether internally hosted, externally hosted, or a hybrid).
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2. 12-11-2009 08:07
 
Wayne: You're right that there is a price point where some of these other alternatives (i.e. SaaS-based ERP systems) become more attractive.  
 
In retrospect, I didn't intend to lump all legacy ERP licensees together. The fact is that some licensees are better positioned to 'walk away' from legacy ERP investments than others.
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Tom Hoffman

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